Covid 19 : Top ten performing states during week 29-6-20 to 4-7-20

Covid -19 is maintaining unpredictability.Mainly due to irregular human activities. Some states who once had got a peak of active cases and number of active cases  started falling thereafter, suddenly faced arrival of infected  people from other parts and their pattern changed.

So while there were 14 states in my list of best performers during previous review, this week I have only 10 in my list. However, I will also discuss the failure of states this week who had performed well during previous week.

So let’s start with the top 10 states for the recent week ending  4-7-20

1.  Lakshadweep Islands : Since detection of first corona case in India on 30-1-2020, which was found with a Kerala person having travelled Wuhan,China, today after 5 months and 5 days when total figure has come close to & lakh, there is no case in these group of islands.Hope the covid-19 episode may end wth same nil case recorded.

2.  . Mizoram : This state has shown sudden improvement due to sudden rise in number of recovered patients ( 61 person at a time on 30-6-20, out of total 160 cases.As a result the total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 96( on 28/6/20) to 34( 4/7/20). The silver lining is that there is no death reported so far .

3.    .Chandigarh : This week it was better than ever. the total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 89  (on 28/6/20) to 58 ( 4/7/20).6 deaths were recorded upto 15^th June and since then there is no death case in the last 20 days.

4.   Himachal Pradesh :Due to flattening of new cases curve and steepening of recovered cases curve, the total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 377 ( on 28/6/20) to 327  ( 4/7/20).10 deaths so far out of total 1066 cases..

5. .Ladakh ;The peak observed on 23^rd of June proved real and since then the number of active cases are continuously falling. the total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 376 ( on 28/6/20) to 178 ( 4/7/20).Only 1 death so far .

6.  .Manipur : Peak apparent on 25 June still behaving like a non prominent peak and cases are slowly coming down. The total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 730 ( on 28/6/20) to 677 ( 5/7/20). Total  42 deaths have taken place out of total 3124 cases. The silver lining is that there is no death reported so far.

7.    Haryana : The peak of 21^st of June proved real and since then the active cases are gradually reducing. The total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 4689 ( on 28/6/20) to 3796 ( 5/7/20).

8.  .Sikkim :

 This state is fighting neck to neck.Not allowing the active cases to rise 49 cases on 19^th June and 51 on 4^th July.Good fight indeed.

9. .Uttarakhand : The peak observed on 26th of June proved real and since then the number of active cases are falling.The fall rate has reversed after reaching an all time low on 3/7/20 ( 498 cases).But it is too early to assume this reversal as permanent. The total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 749 ( on 28/6/20) to 530 ( 5/7/20). Total  42 deaths have taken place out of total 3124 cases.

  210 Delhi : For the first time,Delhi is recovering , mainly due to very fast rate of recovery of old patients,compared to rate of new cases coming. The total number of active cases,during this week  came down from 27847 ( on 28/6/20) to 25038 ( 5/7/20). Total  3067 deaths have taken place out of total 99444 cases.

Now let’s discuss why some states which were earlier good performers could not figure in this list .

Meghalaya  : After a peak of 30 active cases observed on 10^th june and a  base-touching graph upto 21th June , it had come to its bottom value of 3 cases on 25-6-20 .Everyhing was looking fine and encouraging till 28^th June .( pic 01/01)

Suddenly due to arrival of people from outside state,like a person from Assam and some Armymen from other parts of India,who were detected C-19 positive the number of active cases shot up .It now is looking like heading for another peak . So we can say that situation worsened and new peak may be even higher than the earlier peak of 30 active cases.It is seen in newspapers that Meghalaya govt has requested Central govt not to send new persons on transfer to Meghalaya during these days.Till situation really improves , this state is taken out from the list of good performers.

Assam : During almost flat graph between 14-28 June the bump of 26^th june followed by fall on the next day gave a hope that 26^th June may be the peak point.However,the graph started rising more sharply since 29^th June due to faster rate of arrival of new cases.The rising trend is continuing .

Sensing trouble, state govt has taken some big measures like state wide complete lockdown for 2 weeks wef 28^th June and conversion of Maniram Dewan Trade Center ,Guwahati into temporary hospital for Covid-19 patients . Till situation is controlled , this state is taken out from the list of good performers. 

Tripura :  Some disappointment here also. After a Considerable improvement 2 weeks back and steady state one week back, the state is now witnessing gradual  rise in number of active cases since  29-6-20.

It was mainly due to arrival of 49 people ,residents of  same village of Assam from Chennai by a single train .Also there were reported cases at Bangladesh border.In single sentence, number of cases increased due to people coming from outside.

Since this can be stopped from being repeated, we hope better performance in next week so not removing this state from the list of good performers.

Bihar : The active cases reached a low on 26/6/2020( 1953 cases) but since then rising gradually ,now as on 5/7/20, there are 3005 active cases.The main reason is mass gathering during social functions, ignoring all threat  and arrival of workers from outside.The biggest strength is low mortality rate indicating high immunity of people of Bihar. Hope this state returns back to good performers list by next week.